HFI Research

HFI Research

Share this post

HFI Research
HFI Research
(WCTW) Beginning Of The End
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
WCTW

(WCTW) Beginning Of The End

HFI Research's avatar
HFI Research
Aug 05, 2024
∙ Paid
10

Share this post

HFI Research
HFI Research
(WCTW) Beginning Of The End
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
3
Share
Close-up of a danger sign for people falling down a ravine, crooked. In the background the Mediterranean Sea on the island of Mallorca at sunset

“There are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen.” ~ Vladimir Ilyich Lenin

As the global crowded trades unwind, all correlations go to 1. But during times of turmoil, specialists can find pockets of opportunity that the generalists are unaware of. In the energy space, we are seeing those pockets of value now. There's a big disconnect between fundamentals and price, and we think over the coming weeks, this disconnect will correct itself.

For the first time in a very long time, both our oil and natural gas market signals have turned bullish.

Oil

Natural Gas

Because of these indicators flashing bullish, we have decided to go long crude and natural gas, as we signaled to subscribers last week. We have expressed this trade in the form of long UCO and BOIL. The trades are intended to take advantage of the temporary disconnect we see in the market, so please do not expect us to hold these positions for long.

From a larger picture perspective, I think what we are seeing in the market today is the beginning of the end. While history tells us that major sell-off events like the one we are seeing today never fall in a straight line down to the abyss, it does signal that a turn is coming, and we should be prepared for what's next.

Beginning of the End

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 HFI Research
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More