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Michael's avatar

What is your oil production estimate based on?

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HFI Research's avatar

Our US oil production estimate uses 1) a modified adjustment which takes into account physical movements in crude imports/exports and 2) associated natural gas production.

In EIA's weekly oil storage reports, the adjustment explains most of the differences in physical movements of the barrels (i.e. imports/exports). Once you net the two out, your leftover adjustment is then applied to your assumed US oil production figure. You can then verify this level with real-time associated gas production.

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